I ran a simulation based on the new playoff format for Classification 7A, Region 1... I don't like the new system that goes into effect next year. I think it is overly complicated for what the goal should be. The FHSAA membership disagrees, so be it. My position has not changed we need to create a promotion/relegation system that pushes better teams up the ladder and worse ones down until they can be successful.
District Champs/Runner Up Under Current System
Lincoln/Leon
Lee/Columbia
Buchholz/Bartram Trail
Ocoee/Hagerty
Under the Simulation
1) Ocoee vs Oakleaf/Columbia
2) Buchholz vs Bartram Trail
3) Lee vs Fletcher
4) Lincoln vs Hagerty
Ocoee High School 39
Buchholz High School 38.8889
Lee High School 38.75
Hagerty High School 38
Fletcher High School 37.7778
Bartram Trail High School 37.5
Lincoln High School 37.5
Columbia High School 37.2222
Oakleaf High School 37.2222
West Port High School 36.1111
East Ridge High School 36
Leon High School 35.625
Fleming Island High School 35.5556
Lake Howell High School 33.5
Chiles High School 32.2222
First Coast High School 32.2222
Atlantic Coast High School 31.5
Edgewater High School 30
Lake Minneola High School 29.5
Creekside High School 29.4444
Now, the new system is funky and weird.
1), I can't actually break the tie between Oakleaf and Columbia as they have the same # of category 1 wins (0) and same # of category 1 and 2 wins (2). There is no next tie breaker, so who earns the 8th spot is a mystery.
2) CHS (which beat Fletcher in the regular season) ends up being pushed potentially out. Two of our first round games are rematches (real excitement there for a first round match).
3) If we assume Columbia gets the spot, then the old system provided 7 of the 8 that would have gotten in anyway (only Leon stays home).
Link to Data
District Champs/Runner Up Under Current System
Lincoln/Leon
Lee/Columbia
Buchholz/Bartram Trail
Ocoee/Hagerty
Under the Simulation
1) Ocoee vs Oakleaf/Columbia
2) Buchholz vs Bartram Trail
3) Lee vs Fletcher
4) Lincoln vs Hagerty
Ocoee High School 39
Buchholz High School 38.8889
Lee High School 38.75
Hagerty High School 38
Fletcher High School 37.7778
Bartram Trail High School 37.5
Lincoln High School 37.5
Columbia High School 37.2222
Oakleaf High School 37.2222
West Port High School 36.1111
East Ridge High School 36
Leon High School 35.625
Fleming Island High School 35.5556
Lake Howell High School 33.5
Chiles High School 32.2222
First Coast High School 32.2222
Atlantic Coast High School 31.5
Edgewater High School 30
Lake Minneola High School 29.5
Creekside High School 29.4444
Now, the new system is funky and weird.
1), I can't actually break the tie between Oakleaf and Columbia as they have the same # of category 1 wins (0) and same # of category 1 and 2 wins (2). There is no next tie breaker, so who earns the 8th spot is a mystery.
2) CHS (which beat Fletcher in the regular season) ends up being pushed potentially out. Two of our first round games are rematches (real excitement there for a first round match).
3) If we assume Columbia gets the spot, then the old system provided 7 of the 8 that would have gotten in anyway (only Leon stays home).
Link to Data