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1963-2024 Measuring County Success - Lazindex Point System

CountyState Title 5 PtsCo-Champ 4 PtsRunner-Up 2 PtsSemiFinal Loss 1 PtTotal Points
Dade5012658364
Broward4202639301
Palm Beach3103141258
Duval3302228237
Polk2002650202
Hillsborough1302348159
Leon2101420153
Brevard170928131
Orange61163197
Escambia120101595
Okaloosa9081475
Alachua6072771
Manatee8061769
Sarasota6051858
Madison706956
Marion6061355
Pinellas00132551
St. John's4071549
Collier4031440
Volusia2052040
Gulf404735
Jefferson510332
Calhoun304528
Suwannee402125
Sumter203925
Union302524
Osceola106623
Jackson203622
Santa Rosa201921
Bradford202620
Lake106320
Hendry016420
Seminole202418
Lee0031218
Wakulla203117
Highlands201517
Bay104417
Levy102817
Gilchrist201416
Indian River101916
Gadsden102615
Columbia102413
St. Lucie101512
Putnam101411
Clay101310
Walton101310
Holmes10209
Lafayette10129
Taylor10118
Pasco10038
Franklin10027
Hardee00306
Liberty00146
Washington00146
Dixie00135
Hamilton00204
Baker00124
Glades00124
Monroe00124
Charlotte00033
Citrus00022
Martin00011
Nassau00011
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Sad, very sad..

Even though I don't go to football games anymore, went twice this year, left at halftime at each game, it was a sad day for Hardee fans.

Decided to look at the score at halftime and seen it was Booker 50 Hardee 0 at halftime...not the 4th qrt but HALFTIME. This has to be historical for Hardee football and sad at the same time.

To be honest, Hardee had zero offense this whole year from the 2 games I watched, zilch, nothing, and this reflects going up in ranks or those who controls things.

Lazindex State Championship Participant Breakdown 1963-2024

Sorted by # of Appearances-

SchoolState TitlesRunner-UpAppearancesLast TitleLast AppNotes
St. Thomas Aquinas1682420242024
Bolles1181920112020
Glades Day771420102010
Chaminade941320242024
Madison County761320242024
University Christian931220162020
Lakeland921120232024
Trinity Christian921120212021
North Florida Christian831120182018
Miami Central911020222022
Miami Northwestern821020242024
Cocoa731020242024
Pahokee731020162016
Glades Central641020062010
Armwood371020112018
Baker54920202020
Fort Meade18920042008
American Heritage(Plantation)62820242024
Washington (Miami)61720192019
Manatee52720112011
Miami Carol City52720162016
Champagnat Catholic43720202021
Port St. Joe43720142015
American Heritage(Delray)34720112015
Apopka34720142022
Blountstown34719772019
Christopher Columbus34720232023
Frostproof34719991999
Pine Forest34720002021
Miami Southridge2.54720162016Co-Champs 1991
Osceola (Kissimmee)16719982024
Jefferson County5.50620112011Co-Champs 1982
Godby42620122014
Plant42620112016
Venice42620242024
Raines33620182024
Trinity Catholic24620102023
Clewiston0.55619822006Co-Champs 1982
FAMU41520062007
Suwannee41519901999
Lincoln32520102012
Merritt Island32519792021
Union County32519962003
Dillard23519892000
Hawthorne23520232024
Leon23519741992
Southeast23519941994
Wakulla23519812015
Atlantic055N / A2017
Edgewater055N / A2020
Coral Gables40419681968
Cardinal Gibbons31420212021
Bradford22419662023
Escambia22419852019
Graceville22419932005
Miami Norland22420112023
Wildwood22419701985
St. Augustine13420052023
Victory Christian13420142019
Benjamin044N / A1994
Clearwater Central Catholic044N / A2024
Bartow30319961996
Avon Park21319881988
Dwyer21320132013
Jesuit21320212021
Mainland21320232023
Milton21319791979
Naples21320072007
Santa Fe21319941994
Titusville21319831983
Trenton21320152015
Woodham21319841985Now a Middle School
Columbia12319671997
Dr. Phillips12320172017
Haines City12319731991
Holmes County12319651987
Jefferson12320102010
Lake Wales12320222022
Nease12320052007
Niceville12319882013
Hardee033N / A1995
Lake Gibson033N / A2016
Warner Christian033N / A2010
Bishop Moore20220152015
Cardinal Mooney20220232023
Carver20219691969Now a Middle School
Dunnellon20219791979
Forest20219751975
Fort Walton Beach20219951995
Hastings20219711971Closed 1985
Jupiter Christian20220082008
Palm Bay20220022002
Rockledge20220022002
Seminole (Sanford)20220202020
Bay11219761993
Berkeley Prep11220232023
Choctawhatchee11219901990
Clay11219672013
Ely11220022002
Eustis11219831983
Fort Pierce Central11219711971
Gainesville11219802012
Gulliver Prep11220002008
Immokalee11220042012
Lafayette11219811997
Mandarin11220182023
Melbourne11219661966
Miramar11220092011
Northview11220122022
Palatka11219811983
Palmetto11219751986
Taylor County11219971997
University (Ft. Lauderdale)11220122012
Walton11219851985
Westminster Academy11219901991
Bishop Verot022N / A1994
Clermont022N / A1980Merged- Now South Lake
Dunedin022N / A1987
Florida High022N / A2022
Hamilton County022N / A2014
Homestead022N / A2023
Jones022N / A2024
Newberry022N / A2007
Riverview (Sarasota)022N / A1990
Robinson022N / A1971
Rutherford022N / A1999
Shorecrest022N / A1976
Tampa Catholic022N / A2009
Trinity Prep022N / A1977
Williston022N / A1988
Wolfson022N / A1968
Blake10119691969
Buchholz10119901990
Chapman10119681968Now an Elementary School
Chiefland10119971997
Ernest Ward (McDavid)10119791979Merged- Now Northview High
Evangel Christian10120052005Defunct-Now Victory Christian
First Baptist10120222022
Flanagan10120152015
Greensboro10119751975
Hialeah Miami Lakes10119751975
Hollywood Hills10119731973
Miami10119651965
Miami Edison10119701970
Miami Killian10120042004
Monsignor Pace10120032003
Palm Beach Gardens10120052005
Pasco10119921992
Pensacola10120092009
Pinecrest (Lithia)10119691969Closed
South Dade10120132013
Tate10119801980
Vero Beach10119811981
Washington (Pensacola)10119941994
West Boca Raton10120242024
Evans0.50119911991Co-Champs 1991
Admiral Farragut011N / A2011
Astronaut011N / A2000
Auburndale011N / A1967
Baker County011N / A2017
Bartram Trail011N / A2017
Belen Jesuit011N / A2009
Booker011N / A2005
Boone011N / A2007
Brandon011N / A1969
Branford011N / A1974
Cambridge (Tampa)011N / A2015
Century011N / A1986Merged- Now Northview High
Chamberlain011N / A2001
Chipley011N / A2011
Crestview011N / A2002
Cypress Bay011N / A2012
Dade Christian011N / A2012
Deerfield Beach011N / A2005
DeLand011N / A2009
Dixie County011N / A1971
Dixie Hollins011N / A1995Now Hollins
Estero011N / A1998
First Coast011N / A2011
Fort Lauderdale011N / A1966
Gadsden County011N / A2024
Groveland011N / A1970Merged- Now South Lake
Hillsborough011N / A1996
Indian Rocks Christian011N / A2014
Kathleen011N / A1968
Key West011N / A1989
King’s Academy011N / A2018
LaBelle011N / A1995
Lake Brantley011N / A2006
Lake Mary011N / A2024
Lake Minneola011N / A2020
Leesburg011N / A1969
Lely011N / A1987
Liberty County011N / A1969
Marianna011N / A2000
Miami Beach011N / A1974
Moore Haven011N / A1968
Mosley011N / A1981
North Marion011N / A2018
Oxbridge Academy011N / A2017
Pensacola Catholic011N / A2004
Plantation011N / A1966
Ponte Vedra011N / A2016
Rickards011N / A2020
Robert E Lee011N / A1964Now Westside
Sandalwood011N / A1995
Shanks011N / A1970Merged- Now Gadsden County
South Sumter011N / A2005
St. Edward's011N / A1989
St. Petersburg011N / A1984
Suncoast011N / A1981
Tampa Bay Tech011N / A2021
Tarpon Springs011N / A1986
Vanguard011N / A1994
Viera (Melbourne)011N / A2015
Westminster Christian011N / A1973
Wewahitchka011N / A1972
Wharton011N / A2002

1963-2024 Measuring Football Program Success - Lazindex Point System

Note- Teams listed have reached the State Semi-Finals at least four times.
SchoolState Title 5 PtsCo-Champ 4 PtsRunner-Up 2 PtsSemiFinal Loss 1 PtTotal Points
St. Thomas Aquinas16085
101
Bolles11085
76
Chaminade9047
60
University Christian9036
57
Lakeland9027
56
Trinity Christian (Jacksonville)9027
56
Madison County7069
56
Glades Day7076
55
Pahokee70311
52
North Florida Christian8035
51
Cocoa7039
50
Miami Central9011
48
Miami Northwestern8023
47
Glades Central6045
43
Baker5047
40
Washington (Miami)6016
38
Manatee5029
38
American Heritage(Plantation)6021
35
Miami Carol City5024
33
Armwood3074
33
Port St. Joe4036
32
Jefferson County5102
31
Plant4027
31
Venice4026
30
Frostproof3047
30
Blountstown3045
28
Christopher Columbus3045
28
Apopka3044
27
Fort Meade1086
27
Champagnat Catholic4030
26
Godby4022
26
American Heritage(Delray)3042
25
Miami Southridge2143
25
Pine Forest3041
24
Merritt Island3025
24
Union County3025
24
FAMU4011
23
Suwannee4011
23
Osceola (Kissimmee)1066
23
Raines3031
22
Lincoln3023
22
Coral Gables4001
21
Bartow3005
20
Trinity Catholic2042
20
Bradford2026
20
Jesuit2018
20
Dillard2033
19
Southeast(Bradenton)2033
19
Mainland2017
19
Naples2017
19
Santa Fe2017
19
Hawthorne2032
18
St. Augustine1037
18
Clewiston0154
18
Cardinal Gibbons3010
17
Leon2031
17
Wakulla2031
17
Graceville2023
17
Wildwood2023
17
Victory Christian1036
17
Trenton2014
16
Miami Norland2021
15
Avon Park2013
15
Dwyer2013
15
Dunnellon2005
15
Edgewater0055
15
Clearwater Central Catholic0047
15
Escambia2020
14
Milton2012
14
Hastings2004
14
Palm Bay2004
14
Buchholz1009
14
Titusville2011
13
Cardinal Mooney2003
13
Rockledge2003
13
Seminole (Sanford)2003
13
Columbia1024
13
Lake Wales1024
13
Niceville1024
13
Berkeley Prep1016
13
Woodham2010
12
Jefferson1023
12
Atlantic0052
12
Florida "FSU" High0028
12
Bishop Moore2001
11
Forest2001
11
Jupiter Christian2001
11
Dr. Phillips1022
11
Haines City1022
11
Ely1014
11
Vero Beach1006
11
Benjamin0043
11
Carver2000
10
Fort Walton Beach2000
10
Eustis1013
10
Gainesville1013
10
Immokalee1013
10
Palatka1013
10
Palmetto1013
10
Warner Christian0034
10
Newberry0026
10
Deerfield Beach0018
10
Holmes County1020
9
Nease1020
9
Choctawhatchee1012
9
Clay1012
9
Lafayette1012
9
Northview1012
9
University (Ft. Lauderdale)1012
9
Walton1012
9
First Baptist1004
9
Monsignor Pace1004
9
Robinson0025
9
Tampa Catholic0025
9
Williston0025
9
Fort Pierce Central1011
8
Melbourne1011
8
Miramar1011
8
Taylor County1011
8
Westminster Academy1011
8
Chiefland1003
8
Greensboro1003
8
Miami1003
8
Pasco1003
8
Pensacola1003
8
Jones0024
8
South Sumter0016
8
Bay1010
7
Gulliver Prep1010
7
Mandarin1010
7
Hialeah Miami Lakes1002
7
Miami Edison1002
7
Miami Killian1002
7
Tate1002
7
Washington (Pensacola)1002
7
Lake Gibson0031
7
Rutherford0023
7
Flanagan1001
6
Hollywood Hills1001
6
Palm Beach Gardens1001
6
Hardee0030
6
Bishop Verot0022
6
Homestead0022
6
Riverview (Sarasota)0022
6
Auburndale0014
6
Booker0014
6
Liberty County0014
6
Pensacola Catholic0014
6
Robert E Lee0014
6
Blake1000
5
Chapman1000
5
Ernest Ward (McDavid)1000
5
Evangel Christian1000
5
Pinecrest (Lithia)1000
5
South Dade1000
5
West Boca Raton1000
5
Evans0101
5
Dunedin0021
5
Shorecrest0021
5
Wolfson0021
5
Astronaut0013
5
Bartram Trail0013
5
Dixie County0013
5
North Marion0013
5
St. Edward's0013
5
Westminster Christian0013
5
Clermont0020
4
Hamilton County0020
4
Trinity Prep0020
4
Baker County0012
4
Boone0012
4
Chipley0012
4
Moore Haven0012
4
Lakewood0004
4
Miami Jackson0004
4
Winter Park0004
4
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62 Years of State Championships (1963-2024) - Breakdown by County/Population

Note- We've had two tied games in the state finals. I gave 1/2 a title to those four teams.
2024 estTOTALPUBLICPRIVATE
CountyPopulationTitles/1KTitlesRunner UpAppearancesTitlesRunner UpAppearancesTitlesRunner UpAppearancesCategorySize
Duval
1,030,822
0.032
33
22
55
4
9
13
29
13
42
Super1,000,000 and up
Broward
1,962,531
0.021
42
26
68
6
9
15
36
17
53
Palm Beach
1,533,801
0.020
31
31
62
19
14
33
12
17
29
Dade
2,686,867
0.019
50.5
26
77
41.5
15
57
9
11
20
Hillsborough
1,535,564
0.008
13
23
36
10
18
28
3
5
8
Orange
1,471,416
0.004
6.5
16
23
4.5
14
19
2
2
4
Brevard
643,979
0.026
17
9
26
17
9
26
0
0
0
Extra Lg500,000 to 999,999
Polk
818,330
0.024
20
26
46
18
23
41
2
3
5
Volusia
590,357
0.003
2
5
7
2
2
4
0
3
3
Pasco
632,996
0.002
1
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
Pinellas
961,596
0.000
0
13
13
0
5
5
0
8
8
Lee
834,573
0.000
0
3
3
0
1
1
0
2
2
Escambia
326,928
0.037
12
10
22
12
9
21
0
1
1
Large300,000 to 499,999
Manatee
441,095
0.018
8
6
14
8
6
14
0
0
0
Marion
409,959
0.015
6
6
12
4
2
6
2
4
6
Sarasota
469,013
0.013
6
5
11
4
5
9
2
0
2
St.Johns
320,110
0.012
4
7
11
4
7
11
0
0
0
Collier
404,310
0.010
4
3
7
3
3
6
1
0
1
Seminole
484,271
0.004
2
2
4
2
2
4
0
0
0
St.Lucie
373,586
0.003
1
1
2
1
1
2
0
0
0
Lake
424,462
0.002
1
6
7
1
6
7
0
0
0
Osceola
437,784
0.002
1
6
7
1
6
7
0
0
0
Leon
296,913
0.071
21
14
35
13
11
24
8
3
11
Medium150,000 to 299,999
Okaloosa
218,464
0.041
9
8
17
9
8
17
0
0
0
Alachua
285,994
0.021
6
7
13
6
7
13
0
0
0
Sumter
151,565
0.013
2
3
5
2
3
5
0
0
0
Santa Rosa
203,162
0.010
2
1
3
2
1
3
0
0
0
Indian River
169,795
0.006
1
1
2
1
0
1
0
1
1
Bay
190,769
0.005
1
4
5
1
4
5
0
0
0
Clay
232,439
0.004
1
1
2
1
1
2
0
0
0
Hernando
212,807
0.000
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Charlotte
206,134
0.000
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Citrus
166,696
0.000
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Martin
163,315
0.000
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Highlands
107,614
0.019
2
1
3
2
1
3
0
0
0
Small50,000 to 149,999
Columbia
73,063
0.014
1
2
3
1
2
3
0
0
0
Putnam
75,955
0.013
1
1
2
1
1
2
0
0
0
Walton
86,354
0.012
1
1
2
1
1
2
0
0
0
Flagler
131,439
0.000
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Nassau
101,501
0.000
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Monroe
80,614
0.000
0
1
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
Suwannee
46,130
0.087
4
2
6
4
2
6
0
0
0
Miniature20,000 to 49,999
Bradford
27,858
0.072
2
2
4
2
2
4
0
0
0
Wakulla
36,449
0.055
2
3
5
2
3
5
0
0
0
Taylor
21,582
0.046
1
1
2
1
1
2
0
0
0
Jackson
48,622
0.041
2
3
5
2
3
5
0
0
0
Gadsden
43,833
0.023
1
2
3
1
2
3
0
0
0
Levy
46,545
0.021
1
2
3
1
2
3
0
0
0
Hendry
43,333
0.012
0.5
6
7
0.5
6
7
0
0
0
Okeechobee
41,427
0.000
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
DeSoto
35,979
0.000
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Baker
28,368
0.000
0
1
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
Hardee
25,760
0.000
0
3
3
0
3
3
0
0
0
Washington
25,602
0.000
0
1
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
Madison
18,519
0.378
7
6
13
7
6
13
0
0
0
Tiny1 to 19,999
Jefferson
15,450
0.356
5.5
0
6
5.5
0
6
0
0
0
Gulf
15,693
0.255
4
4
8
4
4
8
0
0
0
Calhoun
13,470
0.223
3
4
7
3
4
7
0
0
0
Union
15,532
0.193
3
2
5
3
2
5
0
0
0
Lafayette
8,078
0.124
1
1
2
1
1
2
0
0
0
Gilchrist
19,587
0.102
2
1
3
2
1
3
0
0
0
Franklin
12,594
0.079
1
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
Holmes
19,944
0.050
1
2
3
1
2
3
0
0
0
Dixie
17,465
0.000
0
1
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
Hamilton
13,471
0.000
0
2
2
0
2
2
0
0
0
Glades
12,786
0.000
0
1
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
Liberty
7,706
0.000
0
1
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
TOTAL
22,610,726
0.015
350
348
698
244
258
502
106
90
196

Lazindex 2024 PLAYOFF FORECAST - STATE CHAMPIONSHIPS

Last Week 13 - 3

CLASS 7A
VeniceoverLake Mary +3
CLASS 6A
West Boca RatonoverOsceola (Kissimmee) +2
CLASS 5A
St. Thomas Aquinas (Fort Lauderdale)overLakeland +2
CLASS 4A
American Heritage (Plantation)overJones (Orlando) +9
CLASS 3A
Miami NorthwesternoverRaines (Jacksonville) +3
CLASS 2A
Gadsden County (Havana)overCocoa +6
CLASS 1A
Chaminade (Hollywood)overClearwater Central Catholic +3
www.lazindex.com

Class 3A Regional Final: Booker (10-3) @ Jacksonville Raines (12-0)

This is a tall order for the tornadoes who haven't been battle tested, but on paper, they have the athletes to match up with anyone. I think this game is going to come down to coaching. Booker has been known to be undisciplined with below average execution. If they can play mistake free football, they may have a chance. If not, it'll be over by halftime. I'm rooting for Booker to pull of an upset

What should be done to fix the transfer rule(s) in Florida HS football?

The transfer rules have pros and cons but this is getting out of hand. Early in the season, players were playing musical chairs with schools. I even now guys that played the same teams twice because they played them at 2 different schools in the same season. What needs to be done? Should a kid be allowed to transfer mid-season? Should a kid be allowed to transfer to a school for football and then transfer to another school for basketball all in the same school year? Is there any fix or should they just allow the wild wild west to continue to happen?

STA 16 Manatee 13

Some tuff brakes along the way, caused Manatee to end up with the short end of the stick on this one. Some might say it was the INT that led to STA's only TD... for me it was aapparent 1st down QB sneak up the middle by Manatee that appeared to be a 1st down by a number of yards in STA territory. Only have the back judge throw a flag after the play was over, to erase the 1st down and put Manatee in a 3rd and long situation which Manatee was unable to convert. My question is this, what was the penalty for, because it appeared the refs only marched off 5 yards and why did the back judge wait till the play was blown dead to call this mystery penalty it????? That penaly changed everything for Manatee at that point. If not for that penalty, Manatee was in a position to at worst, kick a FG to tie the game up at 16....very unfortunate time for a penalty.
Update: had to go back and listen to the radio broadcast on the mystery penalty call. It was actually 2 flags, 1 - a sideline warning call 2- illegal formation or movement call.

Play of the game for me was watching the Manatee guard pull, and just completely destroy the STA defender to free Smith up his long TD run......... While others were running up to Smith after crossing the goalline to congratulate him...I'd been the one seeking out the guard to high five him forthat for block....it was a thing of beauty! I believe it was the transfer lineman from Lakewood Ranch, that made the block.

2024 - Average Margin of Victory/Defeat & Breakdown

With a few more games remaining in 2024, Florida schools have thus far played 2936 games against in-state opponents. The average margin of victory/defeat in those contests is 23.9 points. Here's a breakdown of those games with a brief comment regarding my personal view and how I would rate game interest.

# GAMESPOINT MARGINPCT.MY VIEW
26846-909.1%Brutal
43536-4514.8%Very Ugly
57427-3519.6%Pretty Ugly
34821-2611.9%Ho, hum
53411-2018.2%Decent
7771-1026.5%Good

I guess my questions are basically; Is there anything that can be done to create more competitiveness? Or is this acceptable to everyone?
I have some thoughts but would like to hear some comments.
www.lazindex.com

I usually avoid college banter

I had to laugh at Norvell's indignation at the end of the game, over the flag plant. When the end zone of Ron Zook stadium has a grave yard of sod taken from other stadiums, to commemorate victories. In fact last year Norvell had no problem with his players leaving numerous divots in Florida field to do just that. If you're going to dish it in victory, you damn well better be ready to take it in defeat

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4A Playoffs

Region 1: St Augustine HS and Choctaw seem to be the clear 2 best teams in this otherwise average region, as only 5 teams of the total 14 teams from this region, won more games than they lost. St Augustine only losing in OT to Neese HS and Choctaw losing to Pine Forrest and Niceville. I like the resume St Augustine has built much better than Choctaw's and I am picking them to be the Reegion champ.

Region 2: I see #1 seed Jones HS being the clear favorite, with Vanguard getting the #2nd seed. I watched Vanguard play this spring against Manatee, and to me they physically dominated Manatee, as well as exposed what the Manatee defense would be if not for all of its transfers at the LB position. I see a potential darkhouse in Lake Wales HS, but when all is said and done this is a Region that has to have Jones HS as its favorite.....Im taking Jones HS to be Region Champ

Region 3: Port Charlotte HS is the #1 seed, Naples HS as the #2 seed, Dunbar as the #3 seed, and Clearwater and Tampa Jesuit as 4 and 5 seeds. Port Charlotte has been good all season, but I see it a a team that has begun to peek with the end of the regular season. Naples HS appears to be a team that you could characterize as "As Shaw Simeon goes, so goes Naples HS football" in both of Naples loses this season Simeon failed to average 5 yards per carry or break the 100 yard barrier, in every other game Simeon average over 10 yards per carry and almost 200 yards per game. Naples HS looks to have a 2nd round rematch with Dunbar, that Naples won in OT during the regular season 21-20, that last 3 years (including this year) the Dunbar/Naples contests, have been games that kept every fan on the edge of their respective seat until the very last play of the game. This is a second round contest if you in a position to get to, I'd encourage you to go see! Darkhorse team in my mind is Tampa Jesuit, as I see Jesuit and Port Charlotte facing each other in the second round. I believe Jesuit could pull the upset here, but Im going to say Port Charlotte ultimately pulls out the win to setup a Port Charlotte versus Naples region final. I see Port Charlotte claiming the region title, primarily due to the home field advantage. This Region Championship is another final, that would be totally worth the price of admission!

Region 4: Norland HS and American Heritage HS are probably the best 2 - 4A teams in the state, that have the misfotune of also being in the same region. Their strenght of schedules of both schools rank 2nd and 3rd in the state of Florida. This is a region final that in my mind, when played is for the state championship! They played each other during the regular season with Norland taking that game 32-27, but later had to forfeit the win. Im going to to take American Heritage in the region final rematch.

State Final Im going to go with American Heirtage taking it all!

5A Playoffs

Before I get into breaking down the 4 regions, I thought it would be interesting to see where everyone stands from a ranking standpoint:

LAZINDEX .................................................CALPREPS ..........................................................FHSAA
1.) Lincoln HS - Region 1...............................1.) Lakeland HS - Region 2 ..................................1.) Lakeland HS - Region 2
2.) Lakeland HS - Region 2........................2.) STA - Region 4 ..................................................2.) Manatee HS - Region 3
3.) Niceville HS - Region 1..........................3.) Manatee HS - Region 3...................................3.) Niceville HS - Region 1
4.) Mosley HS - Region 1.............................4.) Tampa Bay Tech - Region 2............................4.) Lincoln HS - Region 1
5.) Manatee HS - Region 3........................5.) Lincoln HS - Region 1........................................5.) Atlantic HS - Region 4
6.) Tampa Bay Tech - Region 2................6.) Edgewater HS - Region 2.................................6.) Mosley HS - Region 1
7.) STA - Region 4..........................................7.) Atlantic HS - Region 4........................................7.) Ponta Vedra HS - Region 1
8.) Edgewater HS - Region 2....................8.) Niceville HS - Region 1.......................................8.) Edgewater HS - Region 2
9.) Atlantic HS - Region 4..........................9.) Mosley HS - Region 1..........................................9.) Tampa Bay Tech - Region 2
10.) Ponta Vedra HS - Region 1................10.) Ponta Vedra - Region 1....................................10.) STA - Region 4
11.) Gaither HS - Region 2..........................11.) Gaither HS - Region 2.......................................11.) Ely HS - Region 4
12.) Fleming HS - Region 1.........................12.) Ely HS - Region 4...............................................12.) Beachside HS - Region 1
13.) Ely HS - Region 4.................................13.) Fleming HS - Region 1......................................13.) Fleming HS - Region 1
14.) Beachside HS - Region 1...................14.) Beachside HS - Region 1..................................14.) Fort Myers HS - Region 3
15.) Fort Myers HS - Region 3.................15.) Mailland HS - Region 1......................................15.) Riverdale HS - Region 3

Few thing that really sticks out about these polls is 1.) - the number of team from Region 1, that make the top 15 2.) How low STA is ranked in two of the three polls with its 3 regular season losses, despite 2 of those losses coming from nationally ranked top 25 teams, and the 3rd coming to a #62 nationally ranked team. 3.) How weak region 3 is, in as far as over-all repersentation in the top 15.

Who ever comes out of Region 1, will have been battled tested at least twice...possibly 3 times just to take the Region crown. I see Lakeland only being tested once, that being the game for the Region 2 Championship where it will in all probability face the winner of the Tampa Bay Tech/Edgewater game. I stated earlier I dont see anyone, that should challenge Manatee for the Region 3 Championship. Region 4 I see STA tightening the chin straps, and coming out on top for the Region 4 Championship. From there call it just a gut feeling, but I see Lakeland being upset either in its region 2 championship game or in the Semis by the Region 1 Champion. In the Southern Bracket, I want to say Manatee has a defense that could carry it past STA, if it were to play a solid game from start to finish. This defense however has shown a propensity to give up the big play on a number of different ocassions, I dont feel they stay fundamentally sound and tend lean on its normally superior talent. That's not going to work against a team like STA. Going to go out on a limb and predict a Edgewater/STA final with Edgewater pulling the upset, taking the 5A state title!
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